TrendForce said yesterday (23) that it was fermented by the traditional off-season effect. In the first quarter, global notebook shipments were 37.27 million units, with a quarterly decline of 15.7% and an annual decline of 1.4%. Due to the tight supply of components and the impact of Microsoft's upgrade of high-end products, the number of notebook shipments in 2018 was slightly revised down from 0.5% year-on-year to 0.7% year-on-year.
In response to the market situation of this year, Chen Ruicong, general manager of Compal (2324), said that in 2018, global notebook shipments may be reduced by 2% year-on-year to 2%, and commercial notebooks will stop supporting because of Microsoft Win 7. Demand will rise, Compal's commercial notebooks account for a high proportion, the company's notebook sales this year will be higher than the industry level, PC shipments in the second quarter increased by 15% to 20%.
Yingyeda general manager Wu Yongcai said that Inventec mainly sells commercial notebooks, and commercial notebooks are high-end products. This market is still promising, including Lenovo, Dell and Hewlett-Packard. The volume of goods is growing, driving Inventec's second quarter notebook sales will continue to grow.
Liang Qiaozhen, deputy director and general manager of Quanta, said that the notebook shipments will be better than the first half of the year, and the first half of the year is flat. The growth rate in the second half of the year is relatively obvious. At present, the development of notebooks is better than light and e-sports. Global notebook shipments are declining year by year, and shipments are expected to decline slightly this year.
Li Shuo, chief executive of Heshuo, said that the second season is the traditional off-season, notebook shipments are down 10% to 15%, desktop and motherboard shipments are down 5% to 10%, and other non-information technologies ( IT) product shipments declined slightly.
TrendForce's notebook analyst Zeng Yihan said that in the first half of the year, notebook-related components, including passive components, PC DRAM, batteries, MOSFETs, and panel driver ICs, all had supply bottlenecks due to rising prices.
Since the first quarter coincides with the low point of the notebook market, the impact of the above-mentioned related components shortage is limited. However, when the demand in the second quarter increases, the supply problem is also amplified simultaneously, among which the passive component MLCC supply is the most tight. Accepting the price increase or delaying the delivery is the main adjustment method.
She expects that the component issue will be extended to the second half of the year, plus Microsoft's upgrade license in high-end UHD resolution products, the third quarter of Intel's new processor Cannon Lake and Whiskey Lake shipments delay noise, fear This shipment will add variables.
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